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The Implications of Stagflation

Australians are now experiencing a return to some semblance of normality in the workplace. Staff are returning to the office, and many industries have finally re-opened. Although, despite the positive change, the impacts of the pandemic are far-reaching and likely to continue for some time. We have recently heard about 'stagflation' in the media. But what is it? And how can it affect your financial position?

The meaning of stagflation is an economic position where inflation increases but economic growth slows, and unemployment rates rise. On a national and global scale, COVID-19 has impacted many industries resulting in lower production and significant supply chain blockages. Furthermore, the increasing price of oil, coal and gas is sending the cost of energy up, and it's a said cost that consumers receive the brunt of through the increased price of goods.

At the same time, demand has increased in several areas such as luxury items, cars, home improvement and real estate. This increase has caused a further imbalance in supply and demand, resulting in prices surging for many goods and services, particularly as we head into the end of the financial year.

"alongside this inflation, we are not seeing wages increase; unemployment is rising, and economic growth has slowed."


And yet, alongside this inflation, we are not seeing wages increase; unemployment is rising, and economic growth has slowed.

However, while this position may seem alarming at face value, most economists believe we will not return to the dire stagflation levels seen in the 1970s global financial crisis. Policymakers learned from experiences during that time, and industries are different now due to technology and the saving grace of our strong economy before COVID-19. Moreover, we know the cause of this imbalance and stagflation lies in the specific trigger event in the COVID-19 pandemic.

"leading economists believe we will not return to the dire stagflation levels seen in the 1970s global financial crisis."


As the world slowly returns to normal and the disruptions to supply chains ease, inflation is likely to return to pre-pandemic levels gradually, and the economy will likely begin to mend itself.

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What’s this new tax:

On 20 March 2024, the Victorian State Government introduced the Commercial and Industrial Property Tax Reform Bill 2024 (legislation.vic.gov.au). The Bill is expected to become law and to take effect from 1 July 2024.

The Victorian Government, as announced in the 2023-24 Budget,  is progressively abolishing stamp duty on commercial and industrial property and replacing it with an annual tax.

The annual tax, to be known as the Commercial and Industrial Property Tax (CIPT), will be set at 1% of the property’s unimproved land value.

The tax will replace land transfer duty (stamp duty) that is currently payable on the improved value of the land when you purchase or acquire a commercial or industrial property in Victoria.

The new tax system will start to apply to commercial and industrial property if the property is transacted on or after 1 July 2024.

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