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Ashfords Budget Bulletin — Edition 2026-27
A
ASHFORDS
FOR YOUR FINANCIAL FREEDOM

Budget Bulletin

EXECUTIVE INSIGHTS
EDITION 2026-27
Tuesday, 12 May 2026
Canberra

Australian Federal Budget 2026-27: Snapshot Summary

Key announcements, tax changes, winners, losers, and strategic business implications — prepared for partners, directors and business advisory clients.

TOP-LINE ECONOMIC READ
Budget Position
Deficit
No return to surplus across the 4-year forward estimates; cumulative deficit narrower than the $143bn MYEFO trajectory.
Gross Savings
$63.8 bn
Identified by Finance Minister Gallagher; partly redirected to new spending, partly to bottom line.
Inflation (CPI)
~4.6%
Elevated on Middle East oil shock; expected to moderate as energy prices pass through.
Unemployment
~4.25%
Labour market remains tight; participation rate near record.
Real Payments Growth
1.5% p.a.
8-year average to 2029-30 — lowest rolling 8-year average in ~35 years.
Defence Spending
3% of GDP
$53bn lift over 10 years, reaching 3% of GDP by 2033.
TREASURER'S THEME
"The status quo in the housing market and the tax system is unfair, and that makes it unacceptable to us."
A productivity, savings and tax-reform Budget framed around intergenerational fairness, housing supply, and resilience to the global oil shock.
— Dr Jim Chalmers, Treasurer
01

Budget at a Glance

50% CGT discount replaced with pre-1999 style inflation indexation, applying to assets acquired on or after 1 July 2027.
Negative gearing restricted to newly built housing, effective 1 July 2027, with grandfathering of existing investments.
New 30% minimum tax on discretionary trusts (trustee-level), effective 1 July 2028. Estimated $4.5bn over five years.
$20,000 instant asset write-off made permanent for small businesses (turnover < $10m).
Two-year loss carry-back scheme reinstated for incorporated businesses to support investment.
R&D Tax Incentive expenditure cap lifted from $150m toward $250-$300m.
Legislated personal income tax cuts proceed — 16% rate falls to 15% (1 Jul 2026) then 14% (1 Jul 2027).
$1,000 standard work-related deduction (no receipts) — ~6.2m taxpayers benefit, average saving $205.
$10.7bn fuel security & resilience package in response to the Iran/Middle East oil shock.
NDIS overhaul — ~160,000 fewer participants by 2030; ~$35bn in savings over the medium term.
Private health insurance rebate — age-based loading removed; ~$3bn save; ~3m over-65s pay more.
EV FBT exemption scaled back from April 2027; full exemption only for EVs at or below $75,000.
02

Tax Changes

The 2026-27 Budget is the most reform-heavy package since the 2000 GST. Property, trust and capital-gains settings have been re-engineered around an intergenerational-fairness narrative. The reforms are heavily transitional — most start dates fall in FY27 or FY28, giving advisers a discrete planning window.

Capital Gains Tax: 50% Discount Replaced by CPI Indexation

The 50% CGT discount is being phased out in favour of a pre-1999 inflation-indexation model — tax is paid only on the real, inflation-adjusted gain.

EFFECTIVE
Assets acquired from 1 July 2027. Acquisitions between Budget night and 30 June 2027 continue under the 50% discount. Pre-Budget assets grandfathered (hybrid).
IMPACTED
Individuals, trusts & partnerships holding investment assets. Super funds & small-business CGT concessions retained.
STRATEGIC
Realisation timing, asset-class mix and trust structuring need re-modelling against long-term CPI assumptions.
ADVISER FLAGRun break-even modelling: indexation can outperform the 50% discount for very long-duration holds in higher-inflation regimes.

Negative Gearing: Restricted to New Builds

Investment-property losses will only be deductible against non-investment income where the dwelling is newly constructed. Existing arrangements are grandfathered.

EFFECTIVE
1 July 2027 for newly acquired investments.
IMPACTED
~1.1m taxpayers gearing investment property; geared share & managed-fund investors.
STRATEGIC
Within-year and carry-forward investment-loss rules continue — just no offset against salary or wage income.
ADVISER FLAGExpect a near-term acquisition rush ahead of 30 June 2027. Refresh client property forecasts on a non-geared basis.

Discretionary Trusts: 30% Minimum Tax at Trustee Level

Trustees will pay 30% on the taxable income of the trust (or higher applicable rate). Beneficiaries receive non-refundable franking-style credits to prevent double taxation.

EFFECTIVE
1 July 2028. Rollover relief available from 1 July 2027 for restructures to fixed trusts or companies.
IMPACTED
~350,000 active small businesses operating via discretionary trusts; families using income splitting.
STRATEGIC
Treasury estimates ~40% of affected SMEs face no incremental tax; remainder may need to restructure.
ADVISER FLAGBegin trust-structure reviews now. ASBFEO & ASIC will support restructures; CGT rollover is the critical concession.

Personal Income Tax

Legislated bracket relief proceeds. A new $1,000 standard work-deduction and a one-off "earned income offset" deliver direct cost-of-living support.

16% TO 15%
From 1 July 2026 on income $18,201-$45,000.
15% TO 14%
From 1 July 2027.
$1,000 STANDARD DEDUCTION
No-receipt claim for work expenses (~6.2m taxpayers).
EARNED INCOME OFFSET
$200-$300 for wage/salary earners, 2026-27 only.
ADVISER FLAGAverage-earner ($79k) receives ~$268 in 2026-27, ~$536 from 2027-28 vs. 2024-25 settings.

Small Business & SME Incentives

The $20,000 instant asset write-off becomes a permanent feature of the tax system. A two-year loss carry-back scheme reinstated. R&D cap lifted.

IAWO
Permanent $20,000 threshold, per asset, turnover < $10m.
LOSS CARRY-BACK
Two-year temporary window — incorporated entities.
R&D TAX INCENTIVE
Expenditure cap raised from $150m toward $250-$300m.
COMPLIANCE
"Dynamic monthly tax instalments" foreshadowed for SMEs.
ADVISER FLAGTime capex into FY27 to leverage IAWO & loss carry-back. R&D claim modelling now relevant to larger innovators.

Superannuation

No new headline super tax measure. The Division 296 tax on balances above $3m takes effect from 1 July 2026 as previously legislated. Super funds are expressly excluded from CGT discount reform.

DIVISION 296
15% additional tax on earnings on balances above $3m, from 1 July 2026.
PAYDAY SUPER
SG aligned with wage cycle from 1 July 2026 (legislated).
CGT CARVE-OUT
Super funds continue to access the 33⅓% CGT discount.
ADVISER FLAGSMSF members at or near the $3m threshold should finalise valuation methodology and liquidity planning.

EV FBT Exemption & Fuel Excise

The FBT exemption for novated-leased EVs is being scaled back following cost blow-out from $90m to $1.35bn. Fuel excise concessions extended in response to the oil shock.

FROM APRIL 2027
Full FBT exemption only for EVs at or below $75,000; 25% discount for EVs above $75k but below the LCT threshold.
FROM APRIL 2029
All eligible EVs taper to a 25% discount.
FUEL EXCISE
26.3c/L cut extended past 30 June 2026 (subject to settings).
ADVISER FLAGReview existing novated lease portfolios; accelerate higher-value EV procurement decisions.

GST, ATO Compliance & Integrity

No change to the GST rate or base. Continued investment in tax integrity, with the ATO's Tax Avoidance Taskforce and Top 500 & Next 5000 reviews extended.

GST
No rate change; reform deferred.
ATO FUNDING
Extension of Tax Avoidance Taskforce & integrity programs.
FOREIGN-RESIDENT CGT
Notification regime for high-value disposals proceeds (post legislative passage).
ADVISER FLAGHeightened ATO focus on Division 7A, s100A, FTEs and NALI continues — ensure documentation is current.
KEY TRANSITION DATES
Sequenced commencement of the 2026-27 tax reforms
12 May 2026
BUDGET NIGHT
CGT 50% discount preserved for acquisitions through 30 Jun 2027. Pre-Budget assets grandfathered.
1 Jul 2026
FY27 STARTS
Personal tax cut 16% to 15%. Div 296 ($3m super) commences. Payday super begins.
Apr 2027
EV FBT TAPER
FBT exemption restricted to EVs at or below $75,000. 25% discount tier introduced.
1 Jul 2027
FY28 STARTS
CGT indexation replaces 50% discount. Negative gearing restricted to new builds. PIT 15% to 14%. Trust rollover relief opens.
1 Jul 2028
FY29 STARTS
30% trustee-level minimum tax on discretionary trust income. Beneficiaries receive non-refundable credits.
03

Business Winners & Higher-Exposure Areas

Winners
Residential construction
BUILD-TO-RENT & NEW DWELLINGS

Negative gearing now only available for newly built housing, plus $2bn for enabling infrastructure to deliver 65,000 new homes over a decade. Build-to-rent MIT concession retained.

Small business & SMEs
TURNOVER < $10M

Permanent $20k instant asset write-off ends 11 years of temporary extensions; loss carry-back restored; ~376,000 hours/year compliance saving expected.

Innovation & R&D-heavy firms
TECH, BIOTECH, ADVANCED MANUFACTURING

R&D expenditure cap lifted toward $250-$300m. Useful for scaled R&D-spenders; smaller firms benefit from existing settings.

Defence & security primes
AUKUS SUPPLY CHAIN

Defence spending heading to 3% of GDP by 2033 ($53bn over 10 years). Capacity, sovereign-capability and workforce funding flow downstream.

Energy & fuel infrastructure
REFINING, STORAGE, FERTILISER

$10.7bn fuel security & resilience package: $7.5bn fuel and fertiliser facility, $3.2bn strategic reserve, refinery feasibility funding.

Construction & civil contractors
VICTORIA & REGIONAL

$3.8bn for the Suburban Rail Loop, plus housing-enabling infrastructure investment for water, roads and utilities.

Higher-Exposure / Losers
Property investors
ESTABLISHED DWELLINGS

Loss of negative gearing on existing stock + transition to CPI indexation for CGT. Re-pricing risk for portfolios reliant on the leverage and CGT-discount combination.

Family-owned enterprises
TRADING VIA DISCRETIONARY TRUSTS

30% trustee-level minimum tax from FY29. Income-splitting benefits compressed; restructuring costs and adviser load rise. ~350,000 trusts in scope.

NDIS service providers
ALLIED HEALTH, SUPPORT COORDINATION

Eligibility tightening removes ~160,000 participants by 2030; mandatory registration; ~$35bn medium-term savings. Revenue and compliance pressure.

Private health insurers
SENIOR POLICYHOLDER COHORTS

Age-based rebate loading abolished; ~$3bn save; ~44,000 over-65s expected to drop cover. Adverse selection & lapse risk.

Salary-packaging & auto finance
PREMIUM EV CHANNEL

EV FBT exemption tapers from April 2027. Premium-EV novated-lease volumes likely to compress; demand pulled forward into FY27.

Startup founders & VC
EQUITY-HEAVY COMPENSATION

CGT indexation replaces 50% discount on new acquisitions from FY28. Mixed-signal risk: ESOP and founder-exit modelling needs refresh.

04

Household Impact

COST OF LIVING

$200-$300 earned income offset for wage/salary earners (2026-27 only); legislated tax-bracket reduction adds ~$268 for an average earner.

ENERGY & FUEL

26.3c/L fuel excise reduction extended; $150 quarterly energy rebates continue for eligible households and small businesses through 2026.

HEALTHCARE

PBS scripts capped at $25 from 1 Jan 2026; expanded bulk-billing incentives; women's health additions to PBS; over-65 PHI premiums rise $226-$255.

HOUSING

5% Deposit Scheme uncapped for first home buyers; $2bn enabling infrastructure for 65,000 new homes; $60m youth community housing.

FAMILY SUPPORT

Child Care Subsidy 3-Day Guarantee in effect; ~100,000 additional families eligible; minimum-wage uplift & HELP indexation relief continue.

WELFARE & AGED CARE

Aged-care personal-care subsidies restored; NDIS eligibility tightened; HELP debt thresholds lifted; single-parent payment access broadened.

FOR ADVISERS, PARTNERS & CFOs
Strategic Takeaways for Australian Businesses

Re-platform the client tax stack. The trifecta of CGT indexation + negative-gearing restriction + 30% trust minimum is the most material structural shift since 2000. Every high-net-worth and family-business plan should be re-modelled before 30 June 2027.

01

Use the transition windows deliberately. Three start dates — Budget night (CGT grandfathering), 1 Jul 2027 (CGT & negative gearing), 1 Jul 2028 (trust minimum) — create a sequenced planning runway. Map client decisions to each gate.

02

Stress-test property portfolios on a non-geared, indexed-CGT basis. Cash-flow break-even and hold-period sensitivities should drive realisation timing decisions.

03

Initiate trust-structure reviews now. Rollover relief from 1 July 2027 is the planning anchor — fixed-trust and corporate-beneficiary alternatives need scenario costing for each client.

04

Bring forward capex and innovation spend. Permanent IAWO + reinstated loss carry-back + higher R&D cap create a favourable, time-limited window for FY27 investment.

05

Re-cut SMSF strategies. Division 296 lands 1 July 2026 with no Budget reprieve. Liquidity, valuation methodology and lump-sum strategies require renewed focus.

06

Re-base sector forecasts. NDIS providers, private-health insurers and EV-leasing intermediaries face the sharpest revenue-model adjustments.

07
05

Immediate Action Checklist

Review tax structures

Trust, company & partnership architectures against the 30% trustee tax (FY29).

Assess trust exposure

Quantify beneficiary impact; model fixed-trust or corporate rollovers from 1 July 2027.

Revisit investment strategy

CGT modelling under indexation; pre-FY28 acquisition decisions.

Update cashflow forecasts

Incorporate IAWO permanence, loss carry-back and income-tax bracket changes.

Re-model property portfolios

Strip out negative-gearing offset for post-FY28 acquisitions of established stock.

Refresh SMSF / Div 296 plans

Valuations, liquidity and pension strategy for balances above $3m.

Capital-allocation review

Time R&D and capex into the FY27 incentive window.

Consult on transitional rules

Identify clients with cross-period exposure (Budget night to 30 Jun 2027 to 30 Jun 2028).

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Budget Bulletin

EXECUTIVE INSIGHTS · EDITION 2026-27
12 MAY 2026
Prepared for partners,
directors & advisory clients

Prepared from the official 2026-27 Federal Budget Papers (budget.gov.au), Treasury releases, the Treasurer's Budget Speech, and verified Australian financial reporting (ABC News, Australian Financial Review, The Australian, SBS News, SmartCompany). Some technical detail remains subject to draft legislation and post-Budget analysis.

This summary is general information only and does not constitute tax, legal or financial advice. Recipients should obtain professional advice that takes their specific circumstances into account before acting on any matter discussed.

Sources: Commonwealth Budget Papers 2026-27 · Treasury releases · Treasurer's Budget Speech (12 May 2026) · ABC News · Australian Financial Review · The Australian · SBS News · SmartCompany.

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